Buggligan

After gameweek 9 ·

Position
5th
12 pts · 4-0-5
Title chance
0%
top 3: 13%
GW10
29%
to beat harry
Luck
+2.0
league points vs deserved
Lineup efficiency
88%
49 pts left on the table

GW9 in brief

GW10 preview

Win chances from the same model as the season simulation.

HomeWinDrawWinAway
Mattis64%2%34%Andreas
Ola41%2%56%Shan
Gustaf29%2%69%harry
Henrik43%2%54%Jan

Table

#ManagerTeamWDLForAgainstPts
1 ▲MattisBeddinge BK70243535721
2 ▼harryÄpple60347435518
3 ·HenrikStyggeNygge50435639115
4 ·ShanLos merengues41439940913
5 ▲GustafVälfärdsberget40536940012
6 ▲OlaJockrarna draftar31536538510
7 ▼JanIpparna3063814269
8 ▼AndreasBK Flagg3063594159

The season so far

League position by gameweek Weekly scores
Weekly scores as a table
ManagerGW1GW2GW3GW4GW5GW6GW7GW8GW9
Mattis296436535742624349
harry786160425350543739
Henrik497334245330203736
Shan423652333540506645
Gustaf335535653929443633
Ola392552395239302960
Jan314230545453463932
Andreas444137602643443232
Points race

How it might end

Simulated final positions
Season odds as a table
ManagerTitleTop 3LastFinal pts (avg)Modelled weekly score
harry65.3%99%0.0%7750.4
Mattis32.3%96%0.0%7347.1
Shan1.7%49%2.8%5844.1
Henrik0.3%15%13.1%5140.6
Jan0.2%14%13.9%5042.6
Gustaf0.2%13%14.4%5041.6
Ola0.1%9%21.7%4841.3
Andreas0.0%5%34.1%4540.8

Each manager's weekly score is drawn around their average so far, pulled a little towards the league average, with a spread of ±11 points. It doesn't know about injuries, transfers or fixtures, so treat it as "if everyone keeps scoring like this".

Luck and consistency

Luck
Luck as a table
ManagerLeague ptsDeservedLuckAll-play W-D-LAll-play win %Points against
Henrik1511.0+4.025-2-3641%391
Mattis2118.4+2.643-0-2068%357
Gustaf1210.0+2.023-1-3937%400
Ola1010.0+0.023-1-3937%385
Shan1313.9−0.932-1-3052%409
harry1819.6−1.645-2-1673%355
Andreas911.0−2.025-2-3641%415
Jan913.4−4.431-1-3150%426
Score spread
Score spread as a table
ManagerAverageMedianSpread (sd)WorstBestWeekly topsWeekly lows
harry52.75312.1377820
Mattis48.34911.2296421
Shan44.3429.8336610
Jan42.3429.4305412
Gustaf41.03611.1296511
Ola40.63911.2256012
Andreas39.9419.3266002
Henrik39.63615.5207312

Team selection

Lineup efficiency
Lineup efficiency as a table
ManagerScoredBest possibleGapBench pointsEfficiencyPerfect weeksLosses a better XI wins
Ola365385204094.8%50
Shan399423243394.3%30
Henrik356379235193.9%20
Mattis435487528189.3%21
Jan381430497488.6%01
Gustaf369418497688.3%21
harry4745376310688.3%12
Andreas359410518187.6%22
Points by position Points by club

Most valuable players

Points scored while in the starting XI.

Manager1st2nd3rd
harryIsak (LIV) 53Calafiori (ARS) 51Schade (BRE) 45
MattisGroß (BHA) 58Tarkowski (EVE) 54Rice (ARS) 47
ShanGabriel (ARS) 58Barnes (NEW) 42Dewsbury-Hall (EVE) 41
JanEvanilson (BOU) 52De Cuyper (BHA) 45Guéhi (MCI) 37
GustafHaaland (MCI) 68Raya (ARS) 54Calvert-Lewin (LEE) 35
OlaRogers (CHE) 50Palmer (CHE) 45Barry (EVE) 39
AndreasJoão Pedro (CHE) 47Konsa (ARS) 39Saka (ARS) 37
HenrikCherki (MCI) 45N.Jackson (AVL) 43Hall (NEW) 42

Waivers and free agents

Waiver moves

Best moves

GWManagerInOutWeeksIn scoredOut scoredNet
GW1AndreasKonsa (ARS)Khusanov (MCI)94917+32
GW3MattisMcBurnie (HUL)Woltemade (NEW)7300+30
GW2JanDe Cuyper (BHA)Davis (IPS)85227+25
GW2HenrikN.Jackson (AVL)Strand Larsen (CRY)84320+23
GW2OlaKing (FUL)Ngumoha (LIV)8296+23

Worst moves

GWManagerInOutWeeksIn scoredOut scoredNet
GW3GustafEgan (HUL)Van Hecke (TOT)71951−32
GW8AndreasBenitez (CRY)Leno (FUL)2110−9
GW5MattisMykolenko (EVE)Kerkez (LIV)4615−9
GW5OlaJ.Murphy (NEW)Kamada (CRY)2211−9
GW3JanThiaw (NEW)Mendy (HUL)1-18−9

The ones that got away

Points scored since being dropped, wherever they went.

Dropped byPlayerGWPoints since
GustafVan Hecke (TOT)GW351
harryTavernier (BOU)GW344
HenrikManzambi (AVL)GW138
OlaAraujo (LIV)GW336
JanE.Le Fée (SUN)GW330

Activity

ManagerWaiver claimsWonMovesNet points
Ola241634+115
Andreas411334+104
Mattis261111+68
Shan105+46
harry181112+36
Gustaf7511+30
Jan342026+23
Henrik767+12

The draft, revisited

Points scored in GW1–9 by each manager's picks in the August draft.

Rebuilt from the GW1 team sheets, because the API only gives a league's newest draft. That keeps who drafted whom but not the pick order, so there's no steals-and-busts chart.

ManagerPoints from drafteesStill ownedBest pick
harry50110Vuskovic (BHA) 58
Mattis4487Groß (BHA) 60
Jan4187Evanilson (BOU) 52
Gustaf4066Haaland (MCI) 68
Shan39412Gabriel (ARS) 58
Henrik37510Cherki (MCI) 45
Andreas3725João Pedro (CHE) 47
Ola2775Rogers (CHE) 50

The league re-drafts on 1 January 2027 at 21:00 CET, before GW20. This section moves to the new draft after GW22, once its picks have had three gameweeks to score.

Free-agent board

Unowned (current ownership), ranked by points over GW6–9. At least two games' worth of minutes.

Goalkeepers

PlayerClubPts (window)MinutesSeason ptsNext 3
HorníčekNEW1336027FUL (A), ARS (H), BHA (A)
MartinezCHE1116420SUN (A), LEE (H), NFO (A)
LammensMUN936020AVL (H), LIV (A), BRE (H)
RushworthCOV836024EVE (A), CRY (H), LEE (A)
WaltonIPS836010BOU (H), TOT (A), AVL (H)

Defenders

PlayerClubPts (window)MinutesSeason ptsNext 3
RobertsonTOT1920836LEE (A), IPS (H), SUN (A)
OuattaraIPS1936025BOU (H), TOT (A), AVL (H)
AcheampongCHE1936024SUN (A), LEE (H), NFO (A)
RobinsonFUL1827030NEW (H), MCI (A), BOU (H)
AffengruberFUL1836030NEW (H), MCI (A), BOU (H)

Midfielders

PlayerClubPts (window)MinutesSeason ptsNext 3
RudoniCOV2434837EVE (A), CRY (H), LEE (A)
HendersonCHE2327025SUN (A), LEE (H), NFO (A)
EncisoIPS2232237BOU (H), TOT (A), AVL (H)
TonaliTOT1936033LEE (A), IPS (H), SUN (A)
BobbFUL1931032NEW (H), MCI (A), BOU (H)

Forwards

PlayerClubPts (window)MinutesSeason ptsNext 3
CherifCOV1622017EVE (A), CRY (H), LEE (A)
OsulaNEW1221216FUL (A), ARS (H), BHA (A)
AwoniyiCOV1112414EVE (A), CRY (H), LEE (A)
Strand LarsenCRY714221LIV (H), COV (A), HUL (H)
IsidorSUN312318CHE (H), AVL (A), TOT (H)

Fixtures

Clean-sheet outlook Attacking outlook

Team strength comes from actual goals this season, weighted towards recent games (half-life four matches), with a small home advantage. Doubles add up; blanks are neutral.